Economy

Empty retail spaces dotting main streets in cities and towns across New Hampshire in the lead-up to the first-in-the-nation Feb. 18, 1992 primary gave clear evidence of the poor state of the economy.  Clinton chief strategist James Carville famously stated, "It's the economy, stupid."  [Carville actually set out three points: "1. Change vs. more of the same; 2. The economy, stupid; and 3. Don't forget health care."]  New England was particularly hard hit by the 1990-91 recession, but the national numbers tell the tale as well:

Percent Change From Preceding Period in Real Gross Domestic Product, 1980-1999.
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
-0.3
2.5
-1.8
4.6
7.2
4.2
3.5
3.5
4.2
3.7
1.9
-0.1
3.5
2.8
4.0
2.7
3.8
4.4
4.5
4.8
Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis


A review of campaign literature from the primaries shows a heavy emphasis on the economy.


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